Bundesliga betting trend analysis: 3-way moneyline underdogs with a total of 2.5 goals or less

For my first trend analysis, I was inspired by some trends of underdogs with low totals performing well in the NFL and NCAA Football. Per Josh Appelbaum's The Everything Guide to Sports Betting, NCAAF underdogs receiving less than 40% of bets in games with a total of less than 55 points went 70-39 (.642) against … Continue reading Bundesliga betting trend analysis: 3-way moneyline underdogs with a total of 2.5 goals or less

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Cholo Simeone’s progressivism challenged in matchday one

Photo by David S. Bustamante/Soccrates/Getty Images Getafe were a difficult team to start the league season against. That said, Atlético’s coach can’t wait too long to build a more proactive side. João Félix. Marcos Llorente. Héctor Herrera. Ivan Šaponjić. Possibly Rodrigo Moreno. Atlético Madrid have spent over €240 million (U.S. $260 million) this summer on a … Continue reading Cholo Simeone’s progressivism challenged in matchday one

Why Alvaro Morata has fit in well at Atlético

He was a Chelsea castoff after a five-goal return in the Premier League, but Morata has almost immediately impressed in Madrid. Why are Atlético Madrid and LaLiga so much more suitable for Álvaro Morata? Let’s start at the beginning of his second rojiblanco tenure — remember, he was an academy kid many years ago. Morata had a goal taken … Continue reading Why Alvaro Morata has fit in well at Atlético

Simeone readies new XI for Sevilla trip

Antoine Griezmann could have a new partner at the point of attack. Diego Simeone is training a new 11 ahead of Atlético Madrid´s first match of 2019. Atlético will face Sevilla at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán on Sunday afternoon — and it looks like changes are afoot. Among the highlights — Juanfran will return to the lineup, replacing Santiago Arias … Continue reading Simeone readies new XI for Sevilla trip