How to Bet on the English Premier League

For my latest data analytics project, I looked at English Premier League betting trends. While I still have a lot of work to do on this project, I wanted to get something out to support the picks I tweet every game week. I have completed the analysis on a few trends from the 2018-19 season … Continue reading How to Bet on the English Premier League

Bundesliga betting trend update

The Bundesliga trend of underdogs in games with a total of 2.5 goals or less continues to make money, going 2-1 and making 3.95 units, a 132% return on investment. Over the last two seasons, they are up to 62-136, winning 11.87 units, a 5.99% return on investment. There are three games to use it … Continue reading Bundesliga betting trend update

Bundesliga betting trend analysis: 3-way moneyline underdogs with a total of 2.5 goals or less

For my first trend analysis, I was inspired by some trends of underdogs with low totals performing well in the NFL and NCAA Football. Per Josh Appelbaum's The Everything Guide to Sports Betting, NCAAF underdogs receiving less than 40% of bets in games with a total of less than 55 points went 70-39 (.642) against … Continue reading Bundesliga betting trend analysis: 3-way moneyline underdogs with a total of 2.5 goals or less

Atlético in Pot 2 ahead of Champions League draw

Old foes Chelsea and Leverkusen combine with new rivals in Manchester City or Paris Saint-Germain in the group stage lottery. Photo credit should read VALERY HACHE/AFP/Getty Images It’s almost Champions League draw time! On Thursday evening, Atlético Madrid will find out their three group stage opponents in the 32-team competition. It’s always an exciting — if slightly nervy — … Continue reading Atlético in Pot 2 ahead of Champions League draw

Cholo Simeone’s progressivism challenged in matchday one

Photo by David S. Bustamante/Soccrates/Getty Images Getafe were a difficult team to start the league season against. That said, Atlético’s coach can’t wait too long to build a more proactive side. João Félix. Marcos Llorente. Héctor Herrera. Ivan Šaponjić. Possibly Rodrigo Moreno. Atlético Madrid have spent over €240 million (U.S. $260 million) this summer on a … Continue reading Cholo Simeone’s progressivism challenged in matchday one

Why Alvaro Morata has fit in well at Atlético

He was a Chelsea castoff after a five-goal return in the Premier League, but Morata has almost immediately impressed in Madrid. Why are Atlético Madrid and LaLiga so much more suitable for Álvaro Morata? Let’s start at the beginning of his second rojiblanco tenure — remember, he was an academy kid many years ago. Morata had a goal taken … Continue reading Why Alvaro Morata has fit in well at Atlético